ArcadeArcade

Bet on distributions.
Not just direction.

The first prediction market where you express both your price target(μ)and confidence level(σ).

LIVE DISTRIBUTIONS
Trader
Market
LowerHigherPrice
Market μ: $102,450Your μ: $105,000
+12.5% ROI
Base Network
$0
0 markets
HOW IT WORKS

Three steps to profit

Express your market view with mathematical precision

01

PREDICT

Set your μ and σ to express your view

Choose your predicted price (μ)
Set your confidence level (σ)
Stake USDC on your position
02

RESOLVE

Chainlink oracles fetch the real price

Automated price resolution
Trusted Chainlink data feeds
24-hour dispute period
03

PROFIT

Closer prediction = bigger payout

Score based on accuracy
Beat the market consensus
Withdraw winnings instantly

All Markets

Create Your Own Market

Don't see a market you want?

Launch your own prediction market in minutes. Set any price target, choose your resolution date, and let the community trade.

Chainlink Oracles
Base Network
Instant Settlement