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Bet on distributions.
Not just direction.
The first prediction market where you express both your price target(μ)and confidence level(σ).
LIVE DISTRIBUTIONS
Trader
Market
Market μ: $102,450Your μ: $105,000
+12.5% ROI
Base Network
$0
0 markets
HOW IT WORKS
Three steps to profit
Express your market view with mathematical precision
01
PREDICT
Set your μ and σ to express your view
Choose your predicted price (μ)
Set your confidence level (σ)
Stake USDC on your position
02
RESOLVE
Chainlink oracles fetch the real price
Automated price resolution
Trusted Chainlink data feeds
24-hour dispute period
03
PROFIT
Closer prediction = bigger payout
Score based on accuracy
Beat the market consensus
Withdraw winnings instantly